2010 EARLY FANTASY POINTS AGAINST RANKS

In Fantasy Draft, Fantasy Football Links on March 6, 2010 at 11:57 am

Check out the rankings, but ALSO check out the “watch list” of fantasy players that benefit from 2010 SOS here: 2010 Fantasy Player Watch List

last update: 4/19/2010

The heart and soul of the oMatic® engine are Fantasy Points Against ranks for the Defenses against each skill position.

The oMatic® assigns every team a point value per position from 1-32, (based on the factors listed below) Since the Lions gave up the most fantasy points to quarterbacks, every signal-caller facing them next season received one point. If a quarterback faces the Jets, who gave up the fewest points to the position, he received 32 points.

The lower the point total, the easier the schedule and the better the FPA rating.

These ranks are then applied to the Offensive Players schedules to determine the easiest road to success for all the Offense Players in fantasy.

This data helps determine draft cheat sheets, weekly starts, waiver and trades. This early in the season, however, it helps us get our “watch list” together for players we may want to draft this summer.

There is a TON of offseason left to go (Free Agency, Draft, Camp) but this page will serve as an updated rank list for each NFL team and their changes brought on by free agency and the draft.

First, where do these ranks come from?

- The baseline for these 2010 ranks comes from 2009 performance. This is frequently pointed to as flawed data since a teams 2009 ranks against a position rarely dictates its 2010 performance…but its good enough for a start. Then thats why we apply the following:

- Modify for last 5 weeks of season trends vs overall season trends. This is huge, for more detail on how different teams can FINISH vs how they do all season, see this past article from 2009

- Then all coaching changes and new schemes are applied. For example in 2008, GB defense was one of the worst against the run. Then they bring on Dom Capers and the 3-4 and finish 3rd against the run in 2009. The oMatic painstakingly goes through all offseason coaching and scheme moves to help determine how existing personnel may fit into the teams future performance.

- Free Agency. This is a major factor since two teams are effected with any free agent signing. Just look at ARI and how depleted their defense is after only one day of free agency. Trades can also effect these ranks in the same way.

- Draft. Adding depth and good players to any defense will make it play differently, sometimes significantly, in the coming year. The impact of draft additions to defenses has been logged from past years and creates an algorithm that can be applied to this coming draft. You will see this impact on the ranks in late April.

- Injury. Some teams ranks will change by having players come back from injury (ex. Urlacher coming back to the bears after missing the entire season) and some can be effected by losing players in the preseason.

Lets take a look at how each team finished against each fantasy skill position in 2009:

Team	QB	RB	WR	TE	K
ARI	17	16	13	7	27
ATL	7	19	19	6	25
BAL	26	29	26	23	22
BUF	31	1	30	22	23
CAR	30	10	31	25	28
CHI	6	13	9	10	11
CIN	24	24	28	26	21
CLE	8	5	27	4	5
DAL	20	28	24	17	29
DEN	29	15	29	19	8
DET	1	6	3	3	1
GB	15	30	18	11	32
HOU	22	17	23	15	20
IND	25	12	12	32	9
JAX	4	26	2	21	14
KC	13	2	7	18	3
MIA	5	20	6	12	2
MIN	11	31	17	5	26
NE	18	25	11	24	31
NO	28	9	10	29	10
NYG	3	14	15	1	18
NYJ	32	27	32	31	30
OAK	21	3	20	28	4
PHI	14	21	25	2	19
PIT	16	32	5	20	24
SD	19	18	22	14	17
SEA	9	8	4	16	15
SF	27	23	21	30	12
STL	10	4	14	13	16
TB	12	7	8	9	7
TEN	2	11	1	8	13
WAS	23	22	16	27	6

** IMPORTANT LEGEND NOTE: a #1 rank means this team is the EASIEST team to face for a skill position. So in 2009, no team gave up more FPTs to QBs than DET. No team gave up LESS FPTS than NYJ. The goal for a player to have a season total of ranks they will face that is as LOW as possible.

HERE is the current oMatic® 2010 FPA Rank list as of 4/08/2010 with notes on the movement of certain teams:

Team	QB	RB	WR	TE	K	Change	Comment
ARI	23	14	27	23	25	1	Lost Dansby and Rolle, Add Lenon, Add CB Rhodes, Add Hadnot, Add Paris Lenon, Add Porter
ATL	15	25	23	27	27	1	Add Robinson, Lose Houston, Lose Tye Hill
BAL	27	31	21	14	23	-2	Lost Bannon, , Lost Dwan Edwards, Add Cory Redding
BUF	30	25	17	29	24		Add Dwan Edwards, 3-4, Lose Scott, Lose Incognito,
CAR	31	14	31	23	30	-2	Lost Peppers, Lost Kemoetu, Lose Lewis
CHI	16	18	20	9	10	5	Add Peppers, Urlacher back, Add Tim Jennings, Lose Brown, Lose Ogunleye
CIN	24	7	14	30	11	-1	Lose Shaun Smith
CLE	12	14	28	3	8		Lost Williams, Add Fujita, Lose Pool, Lost Wimberly, Lose Fraley, Lose Hadnot, Lose Hall, Add Cogong, Add Sheldon Brown
DAL	25	27	23	15	31
DEN	20	14	26	3	5	6	Add Bannon, 3-4, Green, Williams, Add Green, Add Nathan Jones, Add Jarvis Green, Lose Weigman, Ryan Harris back
DET	7	6	15	7	1	1	Add Williams, KVB, Add Chris Houston, Lose Larry Foote, Lose Wade, Lose Buchanon, Lose Henderson, Lose Sims
GB	20	28	11	22	29
HOU	20	24	25	13	15	-1	Lose Robinson, Add Wade Smith
IND	7	10	9	26	16	-2	Lose Jackson, Add Adam terry
JAX	9	19	4	10	26	1	Added Kampan
KC	26	2	18	31	4	1	Add Shaun Smith, Lose Wade Smith, Add Weigman, Add Ryan Lillie
MIA	3	18	1	24	14	-1	Add Dansby, Lose Nathan Jones, Add Incognito, Lose Wright, Lose Porter
MIN	3	26	6	16	22		Lose Artis Hicks,
NE	17	22	13	24	28		Lose Jarvis Green, Add D Lewis
NO	14	9	5	19	2	0	Lose Fujita, Add Alex Brown
NYG	2	11	4	1	12	2	Added Rolle, Lose Robbins, Ross returns, Lose Dockery
NYJ	33	32	33	28	32	4	Add Cromartie, Add Pool, Lose Strickland, Add R Wright
OAK	18	6	20	16	7		Lose Alston, Add Wimberly
PHI	9	18	6	4	21	0	Add M Jackson, Lose Sean Jones, Add Daryl Tapp, Lose Clemens, Add Hall, Lose Cogong, Lose Sheldon Brown, Add Sims
PIT	3	30	2	7	17	3	Add Will Allen, Add Larry Foote, Add J Scott,
SD	6	22	13	12	18	-1	Lose Cromatrie, Williams, Add Strickland, Add Vasher
SEA	13	2	16	9	9		Lose Tapp, Lose Walter Jones, Lose Cory Redding, Add R Henderson
SF	28	29	30	32	20		Lose Pashos
STL	13	7	11	17	6	1	Add Robbins, Add Frahley, Lose Lenon, Add Wade, Add Dockery, Add Diggs
TB	29	11	29	19	13		Lose will Allen, Add Sean Jones
TEN	23	4	23	5	19		Lost KVB, Add Witherspoon, Add Babin, Add Hill
WAS	7	15	9	11	3	2	Add Kemoetu, 3-4, Add Buchanon

—–

FREE AGENCY TRACKER (updated 4/05/2010)

Player	2009 Team	2010 Team	Contract/Salary
QUARTERBACKS
Jake Delhomme	Carolina	Cleveland	two-years/undetermined
A.J. Feeley	Carolina	St. Louis	two-years/$6 million
Jim Sorgi	Indianapolis	NY Giants	one-year/undetermined
Chad Pennington	Miami	Miami	one-year/$2.5 million
David Carr	NY Giants	San Francisco	two-years/undetermined
Seneca Wallace (trade)	Seattle	Cleveland	due $1.5 million in 2010
Derek Anderson	Cleveland	Arizona	two-years/$7.25 million
Brady Quinn (trade)	Cleveland	Denver	five-year/$9.25 million (2007)
Shaun Hill (trade)	San Francisco	Detroit	due $1.5 million in 2010
Chris Simms	Denver
Rex Grossman	Houston	Washington	one-year/undetermined
Charlie Whitehurst (trade)	San Diego	Seattle	two-years/$10 million
Donovan McNabb	Philly	Washington


RUNNING BACKS
Chester Taylor	Minnesota	Chicago	four-years/$12.5 million
Willie Parker	Pittsburgh
LaDainian Tomlinson	Chargers	NY Jets	two-years/$5.2 million
Peyton Hillis (trade)	Denver	Cleveland	four-years/1.755 million (2008)
Brian Westbrook	Philadelphia
Justin Fargas	Oakland
Willie Parker	Pittsburgh
FB Brad Hoover	Carolina
Marcus Mason (waivers)	Washington	San Diego	undetermined/undetermined
Kevin Faulk	New England	New England	one-year/$2 million
Thomas Jones	NY Jets	Kansas City	two-years/$5 million
Kevin Jones	Chicago
Eddie Williams (FB)	Washington	Chicago	one-year/undetermined
Larry Johnson	Cincinnati	Washington	three-years/$10.5 million
Tony Richardson (FB)	NY Jets	NY Jets	undetermined/undetermined
Jason McKie (FB)	Chicago
Quinton Ganther	Washington	Seattle	undetermined/undetermined



WIDE RECEIVERS
Nate Burleson	Seattle	Detroit	five-years/$25 million
Brandon Lloyd	Denver	Denver	undetermined/undetermined
Laveranues Coles	Cincinnati
Anquan Boldin (Trade)	Arizona	Baltimore	four-years/$28 million
Derrick Mason	Baltimore	Baltimore	two-years/$8 million
Kevin Walter	Houston	Houston	five-years/$21.5 million
Terrance Copper	Kansas City	Kansas City	one-year/undetermined
Kassim Osgood	San Diego	Jacksonville	three-years/$6.675 million
Arnaz Battle	San Francisco	Pittsburgh	three-years/undetermined
Chris Chambers	Kansas City	Kansas City	three-years/$15 million
Javon Walker	Oakland
Wallace Wright	NY Jets	Carolina	undetermined/undetermined
Brian Clark	Tampa Bay	Detroit	one-year/undetermined
Antwaan Randle El	Washington	Pittsburgh	three-years/undetermined
Londen Fryar	NY Giants
Reggie Brown (trade)	Philadelphia	Tampa Bay	five-years/$21 million (2006)
Charles Dillon	Indianapolis	Green Bay	undetermined/undetermined
Antonio Bryant	Tampa Bay	Cincinnati	four-years/$28 million
Hank Baskett	Indianapolis	Philadelphia	one-year/undetermined
Chris Davis	Tennessee	Cincinnati	undetermined/undetermined
Terrell Owens	Buffalo
Ruvell Martin	St. Louis	Seattle	one-year/undetermined
Kevin Curtis	Philadelphia
Sean Morey	Arizona	Seattle	undetermined








TIGHT ENDS
Kris Wilson	San Diego	San Diego	two-years/$1.7 million
Brandon Manumaleuna	San Diego	Chicago	five-years/undetermined
Derek Fine	St. Louis
Ben Hartsock	NY Jets	NY Jets	two-years/undetermined
Will Heller	Detroit	Detroit	three-years/$3.95 million
Anthony Becht	Arizona	Arizona	one-year/$950,000
Dan Coats	Cincinnati	Cincinnati	undetermined/undetermined
Sean Ryan	Kansas City	Washington	undetermined/undetermined
Jerheme Urban	Arizona	Kansas City	undetermined/undetermined
Daniel Fells	St. Louis	St. Louis	one-year/$745,000
Stephen Spach	Arizona	Arizona	one-year/undetermined
Ben Watson	New England	Cleveland	three-years/$12 million
Joe Klopfenstein	Buffalo	Buffalo	undetermined/undetermined
Steve Heiden	Cleveland
Chris Baker	New England	Seattle	two-years/$4.75 million
Edgar Jones	Baltimore	Baltimore	one-year/$545,000
Greg Estandia	Cleveland	Cleveland	undetermined/undetermined
Alge Crumpler	Tenesee	NE	two-years/$4.8 million

KICKERS
Rhys Lloyd	Carolina	Minnesota	two-years/undetermined
Jay Feely	New York	Arizona	two-years/undetermined




OFFENSIVE LINEMEN
Chad Clifton	Green Bay	Green Bay	three-years/$19.58 million
Adam Terry	Baltimore	Indianapolis	one-year/undetermined
Russ Hochstein	Denver	Denver	two-years/$3.5 million
Mike Williams	Washington	Washington	undetermined
Jon Jansen	Detroit	Detroit	one-year/$850,000
Andy Alleman	Kansas City	Indianapolis
Stephen Neal	New England	New England	two-years/undetermined
Nick Leckey	New Orleans	New Orleans	one-year/undetermined
Tony Pashos	San Francisco	Cleveland	three-years/$10.3 million
Jonathan Scott	Buffalo	Pittsburgh	undetermined/undetermined
Ryan Lilja	Indianapolis	Kansas City	three-years/undetermined
Cornell Green	Oakland	Buffalo	three-years/$9 million
Hank Fraley	Cleveland	St. Louis	three-years/undetermined
Wade Smith	Kansas City	Houston	four-years/$12 million
Mitch Erickson	Denver
Ben Claxton	Arizona	Arizona	one-year/undetermined
Rex Hadnot	Cleveland	Arizona	three-years/$9 million
Jeremy Bridges	Arizona	Arizona	three-years/undetermined
Casey Wiegmann	Denver	Kansas City	one-year/undetermined
Mark Tauscher	Green Bay	Green Bay	two-years/undetermined
Mark Setterstrom	St. Louis	St. Louis	one-year/undetermined
Richie Incognito	Buffalo	Miami	one-year/undetermined
Rob Sims (trade)	Seattle	Detroit	one-year/$1.101 million (2010)












DEFENSIVE LINEMEN
Kyle Vanden Bosch	Tennessee	Detroit	four-years/$26 million
Corey Williams (Trade)	Cleveland	Detroit	six-years/$38.6 million (2008)
Phillip Daniels	Washington	Washington	two-years/$2.162 million
Ma’ake Kemoeatu	Carolina	Washington	two-years/$7 million
Lorenzo Alexander	Washington	Washington	three-years/undetermined
Alfonso Boone	San Diego	San Diego	two-years/undetermined
Julius Peppers	Carolina	Chicago	six-years/$91.5 million
Grady Jackson	Detroit
Raheem Brock	Indianapolis
Michael Montgomery	Green Bay
Aaron Kampman	Green Bay	Jacksonville	four-years/$26 million
Fred Robbins	NY Giants	St. Louis	three-years/$12 million
Greg Ellis	Oakland
J.D. Skolnitsky (waivers)	Washington	Indianapolis	undetermined/undetermined
Tank Johnson	Cincinnati	Cincinnati	four-years/undetermined
Jarvis Green	Denver	New England	four-years/$20 million
Jason Ferguson	Miami	Miami	undetermined/undetermined
Jamal Williams	San Diego	Denver	three-years/undetermined
Justin Bannan	Baltimore	Denver	five-years/$22 million
Kenny Peterson	Denver
Shaun Smith	Cincinnati	Kansas City	one-year/undetermined
J’Vonne Parker	Denver
Gerard Warren	Oakland
Le Kevin Smith	Denver	Denver	undetermined/undetermined
Dewayne White	Detroit
Jimmy Kennedy	Minnesota	Minnesota	two-years/$6 million
Rodrique Wright	Miami	NY Jets	undetermined/undetermined
Darryl Tapp (trade)	Seattle	Philadelphia	one-year/$1.176 million
Chris Clemons (trade)	Philadelphia	Seattle	five-years/$12.6 million
Dwan Edwards	Baltimore	Buffalo	undetermined/undetermined
Taylor Brayton	Carolina	Carolina	three-years/undetermined
Jason Babin	Philadelphia	Tennessee	one-year/$1 million
Darren Howard	Philadelphia
Cory Redding	Seattle	Baltimore	two-years/undetermined
Damione Lewis	Detroit	Seattle	Signed a reserve/future contract

LINEBACKERS
Na’il Diggs	Carolina
Landon Johnson	Carolina
Mike Vrabel	Kansas City	Kansas City	one-year/$3.025 million
Gary Brackett	Indianapolis	Indianapolis	five-years/$33 million
Tully Banta-Cain	New England	New England	three-years/$13.5 million
Vinny Ciurciu	Detroit	Detroit	one-year/undetermined
Will Witherspoon	Philadelphia	Tennessee	three-years/$11 million
Karlos Dansby	Arizona	Miami	five-years/$43 million
Scott Fujita	New Orleans	Cleveland	three-years/$14 million
Andra Davis	Denver	Buffalo	two-years/undetermined
Jon Alston	Oakland	Tampa Bay	undetermined/undetermined
Kamerion Wimbley (trade)	Cleveland	Oakland	due $1.065 million in 2010
Paris Lenon	St. Louis	Arizona	three-years/undetermined
Larry Foote	Detroit	Pittsburgh	three-years/$9.3 million
Jerry Porter	Miami	Arizona	three-years/17.5 million
Alex Hall	Cleveland	Philly	Four-year/$1.753 million (2008)
Chris Gocong (Trade)	Philly	Cleveland
Ernie Sims	Detroit	Philly

DEFENSIVE BACKS
Gibril Wilson	Miami
Craig Dahl	St. Louis	St. Louis	three-years/undetermined
Donald Strickland	NY Jets	San Diego	two-years/undetermined
Dunta Robinson	Houston	Atlanta	six-years/$57 million
Matt Giordano	Green Bay	Atlanta	undetermined/undetermined
Aaron Rouse	NY Giants
Antrel Rolle	Cardinals	NY Giants	five-years/$37 million
Ray Ventrone	Cleveland	Cleveland	three-years/$2.2 million
Nathon Jones	Miami	Denver	four-years/$13.6 million
Kerry Rhodes (trade)	NY Jets	Arizona	five-years/$33.5 million (2008)
Will Allen	Tampa Bay	Pittsburgh	three-years/undetermined
Lito Sheppard	NY Jets
Antonio Cromartie (trade)	San Diego	NY Jets	due $1.7 million in 2010
Jonathan Wade	Detroit	St. Louis	one-year/undetermined
Ryan Clark	Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh	undetermined/undetermined
Chris Houston	Atlanta	Detroit	four-years-$4.25 million (2007)
Leigh Torrence	New Orleans	New Orleans	one-year/undetermined
Benny Sapp	Minnesota	Minnesota	undetermined/undetermined
Leigh Bodden	New England	New England	five-years/$28.5 million
Brodney Poole	Cleveland	NY Jets	one-year/$1.3 million
Josh Bullocks	Chicago	Chicago	one-year/$1.226 million
Marcus Hudson	Carolina	Carolina	one-year/undetermined
Deon Grant	Seattle
Sean Jones	Philadelphia	Tampa Bay	undetermined/undetermined
Tye Hill	Atlanta	Tennesee	one-year/undetermined
Nathan Vasher	Chicago	San Diego	two-years/$4.5 million
Kevin Dockery	NY Giants	St. Louis	one-year/undetermined
Phillip Buchanon	Detroit	Washington	one-year/$1.5 million
Sheldon Brown (trade)	Philly	Cleveland	six-years/$30 million (2004)

Check out the rankings, but ALSO check out the “watch list” of fantasy players that benefit from 2010 SOS here: 2010 Fantasy Player Watch List

This rank list could change DAILY so check back throughout the offseason to see how recent news and activity change the ranks. Then as preseason begins, these ranks will be used to determine what players to target in your draft. Follow oMatic on Twitter for update notices.

Also check out the always updated WATCH LIST to see what players are already looking like great draft targets.